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BEST BETS 01/07/2017


CAULFIELD

KIWIA - R2 No2 - Drawn for the perfect run, will be hard to hold out.

A LOTTA LOVE - R5 No2 - Down in grade, big chance here.

MAGIC CONSOL - R9 No5 - Looks like a specialist at the distance,hard to hold out.


SUNSHINE COAST

MY TRUE LOVE - R8 No13 - Classy filly that has drawn badly, but should be the winner here.

 

ROSEHILL

SIR PLUSH - R8 No10 - Will be too good for these.


As always good luck

Mark @ puntersfriends.com



TIM'S GOLDEN RULES

If I myself would always follow these golden rules I'd definitely be a better punter but alas I do not. 

These rules are in no particular order but each are as important as the other. 

Don't back maidens!!!  No matter how good the oil is just leave them alone. Most of my biggest failures have come from overzealous owners who want you to believe the dream they've been sold to help them believe they have the next Sepoy. Trust me I've believed the same dream when I've owned a horse.


Ratings!!! Rating races are a bit of a conundrum to me. I don't know exactly how they rate them but what I do know is that any race below a 70 rating is a leave alone. Of coarse the higher the rating the better the class. So anything below the 70 rating and form becomes to hard to judge. A good example is to have a look at your next rating 50 something race. What you'll notice is your favorite will be around the $4-$5 mark, basically saying anything can win that race. Now this is my personal opinion here but I rather back horses that have run well in higher rating races that are dropping back in grade rather than horses that have done well in lower grades going up. Unless they won convincingly in a lower grade or are working through the grades nicely. Other people I know won't bet in a race that is not worth $80,000 or more thus insuring their will be class in the field. 

Never chase!!! This is something that I myself have trouble with. If you are down on your luck you will find it extremely hard to find that luck again on the race track. The punting gods will be merciless to you. They will run you a place when you've only backed it for a win or give you forth when you've backed it a place. Let's not forget about that 1 horse that you didn't have in your multiples or worse you just missed in a photo. That's the shit that happens when you chase your money just to make that pain hurt just that little bit more.


Wet tracks!!! Wet tracks don't back. That's it. 

Tim @ puntersfriends.com 

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